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NOVEMBER 20, 2006
INSIDE WALL STREET

A Goodrich Joyride

Stairway To Heaven?With airlines rebounding and plane orders, especially at Boeing (BA ), winging up, Goodrich (GR ) is airborne. A maker of jet-engine and other aircraft parts, such as airframe and electronic systems, "Goodrich has the strongest growth profile in aerospace," says Jeffrey Kleintop at PNC Wealth Management, which owns shares. Demand is driven by growth of fleets of planes with more than 100 seats. He says many observers thought last year's level of 1,000 jetliner orders couldn't be sustained, "but we have seen orders exceeding 1,000 so far in 2006." The surge will continue, he believes, as airlines upgrade with more fuel-efficient planes. And more airlines are emerging in Asia, where traffic is growing fast, says Kleintop. Richard Tortoriello of Standard & Poor's (MHP ) has raised Goodrich from a "hold" to a "buy" and upped his 2006 earnings forecast (excluding a $1.15 tax gain) by 15 cents, to $2.55 a share, and his 2007 estimate by 15 cents, to $3.05. "With fleets growing and air travel strong, we expect good demand for Goodrich's parts and its maintenance, repair, and overhaul services to continue for at least the next two years," says Tortoriello. Goodrich's stock has flown from 37 in mid-June to 44.72 on Nov. 8. PNC's Kleintop says one more factor will lift the stock: a possible buyout. The scuttlebutt, he says, is that rivals Honeywell International (HON ) and United Technologies (UTX ), as well as General Electric (GE ), which has a jet engine unit, are eyeballing Goodrich. He thinks the stock could hit 55 in a year, but in a deal, he figures it's worth 60. Honeywell, United Technologies, and GE declined comment.


Note: Unless otherwise noted, neither the sources cited in Inside Wall Street nor their firms hold positions in the stocks under discussion. Similarly, they have no investment banking or other financial relationships with them.



By Gene G. Marcial
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